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Apparently The Regular Season Is Irrelevant In The NHL

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While the opening round of the NBA playoffs so far could have been blindly simulated, chaos is governing the ice.Ranked dead last in early January, the St. Louis Blues completed arguably the greatest midseason U-turn in NHL history by advancing to the conference semifinals. And that’s probably just the third-most-surprising storyline of this young postseason. Tampa Bay and Calgary, the top seeds in each conference, survived less than two weeks, combining to win a single game. Never before had the President’s Trophy-winning team been swept. Never before had the top seeds both been eliminated in the opening round.It has already seemed like “the year of the underdog” in the 2019 Stanley Cup playoffs. But unlike its hardcourt brethren, the NHL is accustomed to things not going to plan in the “second season.” So how does this postseason stack up against years past? Using the archived money lines at SportsOddsHistory.com, we can decipher a team’s implied probability of advancing and use that to rank the wildest opening rounds in Stanley Cup history. After marauding the league during the regular season, the Tampa Bay Lightning were installed as 1-to-4 favorites going into their series with the Columbus Blue Jackets. Jon Cooper’s outfit won the President’s Trophy behind 128 points and 62 regular-season wins, which tied for the most ever. Tampa was the league’s highest-scoring team by a generous margin, spearheaded by three 40-goal snipers — a feat that hadn’t been accomplished in nearly a quarter-century. Not since 2009-10 had there been a bigger favorite in a series.1That year, Washington, Chicago and San Jose all had implied odds greater than 77 percent. Columbus checked in at +325, which translates to a 23 percent implied probability of winning after adjusting for the cut of the bookmaker, or the vigorish.2We calculated the true implied odds by dividing the implied probability of one team by the sum of the implied probability of both teams. Tampa Bay fell apart against the new-kids-on-the-block Blue Jackets in what could be argued was the single biggest collapse in modern sport. What’s more, it was the first series win in Columbus franchise history.“In today’s game with the parity, it’s not unusual that an eight [seed] beats a one anymore,” Cooper said after the loss. “Everybody’s that close.”North of the border, the Calgary Flames were given a 67 percent implied probability of winning their series against the Colorado Avalanche. Bill Peters’s squad included the league’s second-best offense3Tied with Boston. and a triumvirate of 30-goal scorers. After taking the series opener, Calgary got buried in four straight games by the Avalanche, a wild-card club with the 17th-best record in the NHL.“Obviously we were the big underdogs,” Avs center Nathan MacKinnon said. “And no one picked us to win.”But the pandemonium didn’t stop there. Despite not having home ice, the Pittsburgh Penguins had a 59 percent implied probability of winning their series against the New York Islanders. They were promptly swept. The Nashville Predators, which had reached at least the second round in three consecutive seasons, had a 61 percent implied probability against the Dallas Stars, but the Preds fell in just six games.The Vegas Golden Knights, last season’s expansion surprise, were slight favorites over the San Jose Sharks despite not having home ice. But the Sharks came back from down 3-1 in the series to force a Game 7, in which they found the net four times on one power play and edged Vegas in an all-time classic. “That’s a once in a lifetime game,” Sharks center Logan Couture told The Athletic. “I don’t think my heart can take another one like that.”The Winnipeg Jets, meanwhile, entered the season on the short list of Cup contenders but were slight underdogs against St. Louis even with their home ice. They lasted only six games in the playoffs. And the Toronto Maple Leafs gave the favored Boston Bruins all they could handle before falling in Game 7. There’s potential for more chaos as well: The defending champion Washington Capitals hold home ice and a 57 percent implied probability of winning. But they failed to put away the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 6 and will need to win a series-deciding seventh game on Wednesday to stay alive.In total, of the seven teams to advance so far to the second round, just two were favored (St. Louis and Boston), and just three of those with home ice advanced (Boston, San Jose and New York). Last year, seven of the eight opening-round matchups were won by the team holding home ice. Since the turn of the century, only 18 away teams have advanced to the second round without an implied probability of at least 35 percent. Two have come this season.Which is to say, the second round won’t be as top-heavy in terms of quality as it has been in recent years. From the 2010-11 season through last year’s playoffs,4Excluding the lockout-shortened 2012-13 campaign. the average team to qualify for a conference semifinal team had been a 105-point outfit that was 0.39 goals better than the average team in that given season, according to Sports-Reference’s Simple Rating System. The average of this year’s crop is a 99-point outfit that’s 0.29 goals better than average. Three of the four best teams in the league didn’t even reach the second round. This means that the eventual winner is anybody’s guess: MoneyPuck.com gives six teams odds of better than 10 percent to win the whole thing, with the Blues leading the pack at 16 percent.These gargantuan first-round upsets are rare, regardless of the sport. In MLB’s wild-card era, only five teams touting the best conference record have failed to reach the second round, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. In the NBA, a 1- or 2-seed hasn’t lost in the opening round of the playoffs since the top-seeded Chicago Bulls in 2012. But with its randomness, hockey stands out for its opportunities to surprise. Research by Michael J. Lopez, Gregory J. Matthews and Benjamin S. Baumer found that, on average, the better NBA team in a best-of-7 series advances 80 percent of the time. To match that rate, the NHL would require a best-of-51 series.This postseason has been a difficult one for giants, with new blood chasing Lord Stanley’s Mug. And while the outcome in the NHL is far less predetermined than, say, the NBA or NFL, it’s been a banner two-week stretch of upsets. Suffice it to say that luck goes a long way in hockey (so too does a red-hot goalie). But seldom does the best team hoist the trophy at season’s end. That’s what makes professional hockey special — you can witness history every time you tune in. read more

OBITUARY John D Poland 72

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first_imgWILMINGTON, MA — John D. Poland, age 72, of Landaff, NH, formerly a long-time resident of Wilmington, MA, passed away peacefully at home on July 14, 2018.John was the beloved husband of Rita M. (Collins) Poland, devoted father of the late John D. “Dug” Poland, Jr., cherished son of the late Leo and Alice (Foote) Poland, dear brother of David Poland & wife Serena of Mesa, AZ, Susan “Sue” Moriarty & husband Ted of Stratham, NH, Marcia Howell of Mooresville, NC and Jacqueline Marchese & husband Stephen of Burlington. Brother-in-law of Fran Coleman of Tewksbury, Dan Collins and Marcia Consilvio & husband Ed all of Arlington, Loretta Thomas & husband Robert of Woburn, Patty Mitchell & husband Bucky of Windham, ME, Michael Collins of Tequesta, FL, Steven Collins of Standish, ME, Elizabeth Murphy & husband Philip of Melbourne Beach, FL and Karen Ashman of Leominster. John is also survived by many loving nieces and nephews.Family and friends will gather for a Funeral Service at the Nichols Funeral Home, 187 Middlesex Ave. (Rte. 62), Wilmington, MA on Saturday, July 21st at 11:00 a.m. Interment will follow in Wildwood Cemetery, Wilmington, MA.In lieu of flowers donations in John’s memory may be made to Children’s Hospital at Dartmouth (CHaD), 1 Medical Center Drive, Lebanon, NH 03766 or to St. Jude’s Children’s Research Hospital, 262 Danny Thomas Place, Memphis, TN 38105.(NOTE: The above obituary is from Nichols Funeral Home.)Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email wilmingtonapple@gmail.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedOBITUARY: Stephen J. Bowker, 58In “Obituaries”OBITUARY: Morris “Moe” Anderson, 68In “Obituaries”OBITUARY: John A. Townsend, 55In “Obituaries”last_img read more

31 Digital Tools Entrepreneurs Say They Cant Live Without

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first_img Free Webinar | Sept. 9: The Entrepreneur’s Playbook for Going Global Register Now » September 12, 2017 Growing a business sometimes requires thinking outside the box.center_img 7 min read Today there are too many tools to choose from, which got me wondering, what tools do CEOs actually use every day? What tools could they not live without?I’ve interviewed over 700 CEOs as part of my podcast, The Top Entrepreneurs, and have summarized the top answers below when I asked each CEO: “What is your favorite online tool?”Here’s the list:1. HotjarCEO of ROIworks George Revutsky and Burgabox innovator Chuck Sillari use Hotjar to better understand their web and mobile site visitors. The all-in-one solution shows you heatmaps of all your traffic. Each visit to your website is also recorded in video-like form so you can see where visitors scroll, click and move around in real time.Hear how BurgaBox’s CEO uses Hotjar at 18:24 below:Subscribe on iTunes, Stitcher Radio, Google Play or SoundCloud2. HostGatorIf you aren’t a techie, starting a website can seem daunting. Many startup founders launched the first version of their sites using the WordPress install module in HostGator after they purchased their domain.Related: 15 Useful Tech Tools for Your Business3. Acuity SchedulingI use this to book all my interviews, and my guests Mercuris CEO Manuel Opitz, Obamacare consultant Michael Chapman and ecommerce entrepreneur Chad Rubin agree that Acuity Scheduling is fantastic for controlling your calendar and booking efficiently.Listen to Opitz share the feature he loves most about Acuity at 17:55 below:4. SlackThe messaging software Slack is perhaps the most often mentioned tool in my interviews. Recommendations come across a broad range of industries, including Chau Nguyen from restaurant hiring site Hirewire and Mathilde Collin, CEO of FrontApp, an external message manager.Hear how Collin uses FrontApp and Slack together at 22:33 below:5. FreshbooksMichael Mogill, CEO of Crisp Video Group, uses Freshbooks to quickly send invoices to clients. He likes the feature where Freshbooks will auto-remind clients to pay so that he doesn’t have to be the bad guy.Vincenzo Ruggiero, CEO of Prospect.io talks about how he uses Freshbooks at 18:20 below:6. GrammerlyTomer Levy, founder of Logz.io, wants to avoid ever sending an email with an embarrassing typo, so he uses Grammerly to automatically check all his writing for spelling and grammar mistakes.7. CapShare.comHornet App has many investors and founders and shared that they rely on CapShare to issue stock and manage equity in one place without getting bogged down in spreadsheets and paperwork.8. MetamaskCrypto entrepreneur Eric Tang uses Metamask as a digital wallet for managing his crypto tokens and other cryptocurrencies.9. KlipfolioCEOs shared a combination of tools for creating dashboards to always have their key KPIs handy. Klipfolio was most used and recommended for its modular capabilities and extensive integrations. Google Analytics, Grow and Geckoboard were also favorites.10. CalendlyDouglas Lusted, co-founder of Linkett, and Anant Kale of AppZen use Calendly, a tool similar to Acuity Scheduling, to make booking meetings and calendar management simple and straightforward.11. AsanaIn the age of distributed companies and teams, project management software often takes the place of in-office meetings. Serial entrepreneur Karan Chaudhry has utilized Asana for building businesses and successful exits.Related: 25 Creative Ways to Promote Your App For Free12. TrelloContentSquare CEO Jonathan Cherki, marketing technologist Scott Brinker and VR master Peter Kortenhoeven all swore by Trello for daily task management and product development.13. LastPassAnthony Di Iorio, who founded Decentral, Jaxx and Ethereum, understands the importance of security and encryption in the digital age. He uses LastPass because it allows him to manage a complex and diverse collection of passwords and stay secure.14. The Top InboxFollowing up with emails in your inbox is mentally draining. Laurent Le Moal, who led Paypal’s expansion into Europe, relies on The Top Inbox to track email opens, schedule emails and set auto-followups from inside his Gmail for Business account.15. HubspotCEOs are in a constant battle to build a pipeline, manage their leads and close deals. Award-winning journalist and Biluu founder Peter Aronson uses the Hubspot CRM to generate leads, close deals, and manage his sources and pipeline.16. SocialRank.comEduardo Gonzalez has been hired by Tai Lopez and Gary Vaynerchuk to help grow their Instagram accounts, and he could not have done it without SocialRank.com, which analyzes followers and helps build a plan for finding more.17. IFTTTThe magic automation software IFTTT can be used for social media, personal to-do lists or smart devices in your home. Amarpreet Kalkat, of consumer data company Frrole, swears by it.18. ZapierAnother automation platform powering the backend of more businesses than you’d expect is Zapier. While building a business teaching kids to code, Piper CEO Tommy Gibbons has been using Zapier to automate tasks to save time.Related: The 25 Best U.S. Cities for Tech Startups19. YeswareFrom mail merges to tracking and scheduling, Yesware is an industry solution for sales leaders and CEOs like Darian Shirazi of business-to-business intelligence and data company Radius.20. AhrefsAhrefs offers a suite of tools to improve your search traffic, research competitors and monitor a specific niche. Truebill founder Yahya Mokhtarzada and Matt Kepnes, of the popular travel site nomadicmatt.com, have used it to each carve out their own corner of the internet.21. HelpScoutOn his way to bootstrapping his SaaS company, KickOffLabs, to $75,000 monthly recurring revenue and over 1,000 customers, CEO Josh Ledgard relied on HelpScout to power his support team and provide great customer service.22. ChartMogulCEO of Reply.io Oleg Campbell uses ChartMogul to quickly create unit economic reports so he can spot trends in his customer base. He also uses it for cohort analysis and other financial and retention metrics.23. BuzzSumoSujan Patel of WebProfits appreciates that all companies need to market with original content. He uses BuzzSumo to analyze what content performs best and find the key influencers to promote his content.24. SkypeEntrepreneur Scott Duffy speaks around the world and has a global audience, so he needs Skype. Since Microsoft bought Skype for $8.5 million more than six years ago, it is still the go-to solution for international communications and video chat, despite increased pressure from companies like Zoom.25. TopTalHiring freelancers is my number one piece of advice for entrepreneurs just getting started. You’ll save money and maintain flexibility. Johnny Reinsch of Qwil echoes this sentiment and has used TopTal to grow his development resources fast.26. StripeFirst PayPal revolutionized the world of online payments. Next, Stripe came in and built an even more complete toolkit for online business. Now, Hummingbird VC Dominik Vacikar and many more recommend it for running your business.27. DuoLingoLuke Stronach, who runs a farmland fund, uses DuoLingo to teach himself new languages in a fun and engaging way. The Pittsburgh-based company is expanding into a more comprehensive education suite.28. LeverWhen you raise $8.5 million like Craig McLuckie of Heptio, you have to hire fast. McLuckie recommends Lever to streamline the hiring process and simplify the tracking of applicants.29. KajabiOnline courses and membership sites continue to proliferate and serve as a way for entrepreneurs to scale their knowledge. If you’re not going to put it on a platform like Udemy, then use Kajabi to maintain sole ownership of the revenues.30. LeanStackLeanStack is a one-page business plan template created by Ash Maurya that helps you deconstruct your idea into its key assumptions using nine basic building blocks. Lifelong entrepreneur and CEO of Hatchbuck, Don Breckenridge, recommends more entrepreneurs utilize it.31. CanaryGavin Zuchlinski, who founded No. four tool Acuity, uses Canary as an all-in-one solution for home security and privacy.To see what tools all 700 CEOs are using along with their 2016 revenues, customer counts and more business intelligence data, check out this database.last_img read more